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FEBRUARY 27, 2022



"The End of Nato?"

with Dr. Peter Vincent Pry


Dr. Peter Vincent Pry is Executive Director of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security and Director of the U.S. Nuclear Strategy Forum, both Congressional Advisory Boards, and served on the Congressional EMP Commission, the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission, the House Armed Services Committee, and the CIA. He is author of Apocalypse Unknown: The Struggle To Protect America From An Electromagnetic Pulse Catastrophe and Electric Armageddon, both available from and


Dr. Pry has excellent articles on NewMax!! Click below:

Dr. Peter Vincent Pry served as Chief of Staff to the Congressional Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Commission. He is the Executive Director of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security, a Congressional Advisory Board dedicated to achieving protection of the United States from electromagnetic pulse (EMP), Cyber Warfare, mass destruction terrorism and other threats to civilian critical infrastructures, on an accelerated basis.  Dr. Pry also is Director of the United States Nuclear Strategy Forum, an advisory board to Congress on policies to counter Weapons of Mass Destruction.  Foreign governments, including the United Kingdom, Israel, Canada, and Kazakhstan consult with Dr. Pry on EMP, Cyber, and other strategic threats.    

Dr. Pry served on the staffs of the Congressional Commission on the Strategic Posture of the United States (2008-2009); the Commission on the New Strategic Posture of the United States (2006-2008); and the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack (2001-2008). 

Dr. Pry served as Professional Staff on the House Armed Services Committee (HASC) of the U.S. Congress, with portfolios in nuclear strategy, WMD, Russia, China, NATO, the Middle East, Intelligence, and Terrorism (1995-2001).  While serving on the HASC, Dr. Pry was chief advisor to the Vice Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee and the Vice Chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee, and to the Chairman of the Terrorism Panel. Dr. Pry played a key role: running  hearings in Congress that warned terrorists and rogue states could pose EMP and Cyber threats,  establishing the Congressional EMP Commission, helping the Commission develop plans to protect the United States from EMP and Cyber Warfare, and working closely with senior scientists and the nation's top experts on critical infrastructures, EMP and Cyber Warfare.   

Dr. Pry was an Intelligence Officer with the Central Intelligence Agency responsible for analyzing Soviet and Russian nuclear strategy, operational plans, military doctrine, threat  perceptions, and developing U.S. paradigms for strategic warning (1985-1995).  He also served as a Verification Analyst at the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency responsible for assessing Soviet arms control treaty compliance (1984-1985). 

Dr. Pry has written numerous books on national security issues, including Blackout WarsApocalypse Unknown: The Struggle To Protect America From An Electromagnetic Pulse CatastropheElectric Armageddon: Civil-Military Preparedness For An Electromagnetic Pulse CatastropheWar Scare: Russia and America on the Nuclear Brink Nuclear Wars: Exchanges and Outcomes;  The Strategic Nuclear Balance: And Why It Matters; and Israel’s Nuclear Arsenal.  Dr. Pry often appears on TV and radio as an expert on national security issues.  The BBC made his book War Scare into a two-hour TV documentary Soviet War Scare 1983 and his book Electric Armageddon was the basis for another TV documentary Electronic Armageddon made by the National Geographic.  


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The Doom of NATO? by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry February 2022
“The unforgivable crime is soft hitting.  Do not hit at all if it can be avoided, but NEVER hit softly.  Never.” –President Theodore Roosevelt

Economic Sanctions Ineffectual

Russia has invaded Ukraine.  President Biden and European NATO’s response is to levy economic sanctions carefully calibrated to hurt Russian banks and some of Moscow’s billionaire elites, but not so severe as to “destabilize” Russia’s society or government.

Thus, President Biden’s answer to Russian tanks, and to the greatest military threat to Europe since World War II, is the “soft hitting” of economic sanctions. 

Economic sanctions have failed so often that thinking persons and tyrannical governments by now recognize them as a form of “Phony War” or “political theater” by a weak and frightened West to project pretended strength.

Economic Sanctions are Dangerous

In fact, economic sanctions are a “green light” for aggressors:

--The threat of unprecedented severe economic sanctions has not deterred Russia from rolling tanks over Ukraine.

--Economic sanctions did not prevent Russia from annexing Crimea.

--Economic sanctions have not deterred China from economic warfare, stealing U.S. technology, and cyber-attacks against the U.S. Government.

--Economic sanctions have not prevented North Korea from developing and successfully testing A-bombs, H-bombs, and ICBMs that can strike any city in the U.S.

--Economic sanctions have not stopped Iran from developing an “Islamic Bomb” and long-range missiles.

--Economic sanctions provoked Japan to attack Pearl Harbor and start World War II against America.

Economic sanctions are not merely ineffective, but are provocative to military dictatorships that respect only military strength. 

From the perspective of Moscow, Beijing, Pyongyang, and Tehran—as from the perspective of Imperial Japan in World War II—economic sanctions in response to military aggression are a sign of cowardice, moral bankruptcy, and appeasement verging on surrender.

Ukraine Crisis Could Become World War III

Now that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has begun, President Biden should do nothing that gives Moscow an excuse to make a bigger war against NATO.

The President of the Center for Security Policy, Frank Gaffney, is right to warn that President Biden and NATO’s irresolution and weakness is “repeating history” and brought us to the verge of World War III: 

“Similarities between Adolf Hitler’s actions and Putin’s recent conduct are striking. An Anschluss like the Nazis’ uncontested occupation of Austria has lately happened in Belarus. Putin has reprised the Third Reich’s brazen seizure of Czechoslovakia’s German-populated Sudetenland, in the name of ethnic solidarity, with his operations in Ukraine’s Crimea and Donbass regions.”


“Vladimir Putin now probably calculates that, like Hitler, he can finish the dismembering of the country he’s targeted. The Western response again has been too little, too late. And, most worrying, like Hitler, he has a powerful partner in such crimes. His Stalin is another ruthless Communist: China’s Xi Jinping.  Brace for impact.”


Biden’s Ukraine Policy Invites Invasion of NATO

President Biden’s plan to punish Russia by arming Ukraine, to turn Ukraine into a new Afghanistan by feeding arms from neighboring NATO states into Ukraine in hopes of a long bloody war for Russia, is most likely to backfire catastrophically.

Even with the recent flood of NATO arms to Ukraine, the U.S. Defense Department rightly estimates that Russia can crush Ukraine’s army in days. 

One significant metric is that the Ukrainian Air Force has only 70 jet fighters that have conducted recently only one major air exercise in two years— versus 1,900 Russian jet fighters of more modern vintage that exercise frequently.

President Biden’s support of the Ukrainian armed forces, and then of a protracted guerilla insurgency from neighboring NATO states (Poland, Hungary, Romania, Czech Republic, and Slovkia) is an invitation for Russia to isolate Ukraine by invading NATO.  The U.S. and its allies cannot project enough military power to defend the frontline NATO states in Eastern Europe.


Biden’s “Tripwire” Risks Nuclear War

Recently, during the build-up to Russia’s anticipated invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. and West European allies have moved thousands of troops into East European NATO.  But the whole amounts to merely about 10,000 soldiers and a dozen jet fighters, hopelessly outnumbered by the 190,000 Russians invading Ukraine, and by the rest of the Russian Army, numbering over one million, that could quickly follow.

The very thin U.S. military presence in East European NATO is intended as a “nuclear tripwire” to deter Russia from invading NATO with the threat of U.S. nuclear escalation.  The U.S. recently raised the nuclear stakes by flying a few B-52 strategic nuclear bombers to Britain and then, for the first time ever, to Poland.

But how credible is the U.S. nuclear deterrent under President Biden, who recently declared, “A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought” and is contemplating adopting a nuclear “No First Use” pledge?  The Biden Administration is so close to formally adopting a policy to never use nuclear weapons first that the State Department made secret inquiries of NATO and other allies for their opinions, who were aghast that they might lose the U.S. “nuclear umbrella.”

Should nuclear employment become necessary, if President Biden does not use tactical nuclear weapons first, he will never have any opportunity to use them second.


Russian Nuclear Superiority 

U.S. tactical nuclear weapons number 180 aged gravity bombs stored in bunkers located in Germany, the Benelux countries, Italy, and Turkey.  These are vastly outnumbered and outclassed in modernity by Russia’s variously estimated 2,000-8,000 tactical nuclear weapons.

Moreover, Russian nuclear warheads are more technologically advanced: designed for ultra-low-yields for use by land, sea, and air forces; specialized effects like neutrons, x-rays, and electromagnetic pulse (EMP); and “clean” so they produce no radioactive fallout.  Russian nuclear weapons are not only a deterrent, but militarily practical for use on the battlefield.

The U.S. Intelligence Community knows about Russia’s development of advanced technology nuclear weapons.  But they have failed to adequately warn policymakers and the public, or to fully appreciate and divulge the magnitude of the threat, as evidenced by these examples of heavily redacted CIA reports on Russia’s new generation nuclear weapons from 20 years ago:

--CIA, Evidence of Russian Development of New Subkiloton Nuclear Warheads (20 August 2000) SECRET now DECLASSIFIED.

--CIA, Russia Developing New Nuclear Warheads at Novaya Zemlya? (2 July 1999) SECRET now DECLASSIFIED.

--CIA, Mikhaylov Pressing For Hydronuclear Experiments (4 May 1999) TOP SECRET now DECLASSIFIED.

--CIA, CLASSIFIED TITLE DocId 1260486 (22 June 2000) SECRET now DECLASSIFIED. 

Russia recently conducted nuclear forces exercises to warn Washington that Moscow will strike first—and prevail—if NATO resorts to nuclear escalation.

Russian Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack

Russia could win World War III in Europe with a single Super-EMP nuclear warhead. 

Detonated 70 kilometers high over NATO Headquarters in Brussels, the EMP field would blackout electric grids and paralyze NATO military forces from Poland to Britain, making a red carpet for Russian invasion.  U.S. troops and 30,000 civilians fleeing Ukraine would become POWs.  Russian tanks could reach the English Channel in days.

After an EMP attack, the U.S. would discover it has no tactical nuclear weapons.  Even if some delivery systems survive the EMP, it is highly unlikely any host European government would allow a tactical nuclear strike against Russia from its territory, fearing nuclear retaliation.

The small British and French nuclear deterrents could also be paralyzed by a Russian nuclear EMP attack, including severing their C3 to missile submarines at sea. 

However, Western political-military leaders and peoples are indoctrinated to be so fearful of nuclear weapons that it is highly unlikely any Western government would use them, except as retribution for Russian nuclear blasting of cities.

Russia also has vast advantages over NATO in capabilities for Biological, Chemical, and Cyber Warfare.

Russian Superiority in Conventional Forces

Russia has the military muscle to win a conventional war against European NATO without resort to nuclear, biological, chemical, or cyber weapons.  Russia has 20,000 main battle tanks (MBTs), 1,900 jet fighters, and over one million soldiers.

NATO is a shadow of what it was during the Cold War and has become hollowed-out militarily. 

In 1989 the U.S. had 5,000 main battle tanks in Germany.  President Obama withdrew all U.S. MBTs from Europe reducing the number to zero.  President Trump started returning MBTs, but too little too late, so today there are only about 100 U.S. main battle tanks in Europe, to fight Russia’s 20,000 tanks.

On their invasion route to the English Channel, the Russian Army’s 20,000 tanks would encounter 219 MBTs in Poland, 245 MBTs in Germany, 406 MBTs in France, 0 MBTs in Belgium, 18 MBTs in the Netherlands, 44 MBTs in Denmark, and 227 MBTs from Britain, if London is courageous enough to risk another Dunkirk defending Europe.  NATO’s collective 1,159 MBTs are outnumbered by nearly 20-to-1. 

West European NATO has never exercised, and do not have the capability to, rapidly project their collective land forces to defend Eastern Europe or Germany.  They are essentially territorial armies that a Russian invasion would encounter in “penny packets” and easily overwhelm.   

Russia has about 1,900 jet fighters to attack the collective air forces of the above NATO Europe countries, that can muster altogether 463 fighters, assuming many or most of these are not destroyed by Russian surprise missile and air attacks. 

But would Germany, Britain, the Benelux countries, and France send their air forces to the defense of Poland, or each other, and risk Russian retaliation?  NATO’s theory of collective security has never been tested in a major war.

Globalism Will Lose To Nationalism

NATO’s weakness is a consequence of European socialist-democratic governments building welfare states at the expense of military strength.  NATO’s elites wrongly equate nationalism with Fascism, embrace Globalism, and look to supranational institutions like NATO, the United Nations, and International Law, backed by the U.S. “Global Policeman” to keep them safe.

But Globalism does not build strong armies.  Nationalism builds strong armies. 

Nationalism has been so abandoned by most NATO elites that Western Europe will not defend its borders even against unarmed illegal immigrants invading from the Middle East to transform their cultures and prey upon their citizens.

The new NATO Europe that has surrendered so easily to Syrian illegal refugees will not likely fight long and hard against Russian tanks.

If Russia’s invasion of Ukraine stays in Ukraine, do not expect the U.S. and European NATO to shed their Globalist ideals that are the cause of Western military weakness.

In the military contest between Western Globalism and Russian and Chinese Nationalism, Nationalism wins.

Dr. Peter Vincent Pry is Executive Director of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security, served as Chief of Staff of the Congressional EMP Commission, Director of the U.S. Nuclear Strategy Forum, and on the staffs of the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission, the House Armed Services Committee, and the CIA.  He is author of the books Will America Be Protected? (2022), Blackout Warfare (2021), and The Power And The Light (2020).xxxxx

The Doom of NATO? by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry
“The unforgivable crime is soft hitting. Do not hit at all if it can be avoided, but NEVER hit softly. Never.” –President Theodore Roosevelt
Economic Sanctions Ineffectual ---
Russia has invaded Ukraine. President Biden and European NATO’s response is to levy economic sanctions carefully calibrated to hurt Russian banks and some of Moscow’s billionaire elites, but not so severe as to “destabilize” Russia’s society or government.
Thus, President Biden’s answer to Russian tanks, and to the greatest military threat to Europe since World War II, is the “soft hitting” of economic sanctions.
Economic sanctions have failed so often that thinking persons and tyrannical governments by now recognize them as a form of “Phony War” or “political theater” by a weak a
PDF [202 KB]


Books by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry:

Blackout Warfare: Attacking The U.S. Electric Power Grid A Revolution In Military Affairs

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry

"Blackout Warfare" is the term used in this report to describe a revolutionary new way of warfare planned by Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran that is little understood in the United States, but poses an imminent and existential threat to Western Civilization. These potential adversaries plan to use cyber-attacks, sabotage, and electromagnetic pulse (EMP) weapons read more


The Power And The Light: The Congressional EMP Commission's War To Save America 2001-2020

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry

Electromagnetic pulse (EMP) manmade or natural, from solar superstorms, can blackout electric grids and other life-sustaining critical infrastructures putting at risk the lives of millions. 9 of 10 Americans could die from starvation, disease, or societal collapse from a nuclear EMP attack that blacks-out the U.S. for a year. A solar superstorm could blackout electric grids worldwide, putting at risk the lives of billions. A small heroic band of scientists and national security experts serving on the Congressional EMP Commission have been striving for 20 years to protect America from the existential threat that is EMP. Their war to save America from ignorant armies that are the government bureaucracy, electric utility lobbies, and an irresponsible press is not yet won, and may soon be lost.

Blackout Wars: State Initiatives to Achieve Preparedness Against an Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Catastrophe

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry, David Drummond, et al. 2015

Blackout Wars is about the historically unprecedented threat to our electronic civilization from its dependence on the electric power grid. Most Americans have experienced temporary blackouts, and regard them as merely an inconvenience. Some Americans have experienced more protracted local and regional blackouts, as in the aftermaths of Hurricanes Sandy and Katrina, and may be better able to imagine the consequences of a nationwide blackout lasting months or years, that plunges the entire United States into the dark. read more

EMP Manhattan Project

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry 2018 

The electromagnetic pulse (EMP) threat to the United States is existential and growing. EMPs can occur with a nuclear explosion in space, cyberattacks, terrorist attacks, physical threats or a large coronal mass ejection from the sun, all of which are described in this book. Any of these EMPs could wipe out not only our electric grid, but anything with a computer chip in it, sending the U.S. back to the 1850s. Within a year after grid failure, the EMP Commission tells us that 9 out of 10 Americans will succumb to dehydration, starvation, gang and other violence, murder, suicide, breakdown of society and diseases. The government needs to take action now by forming an EMP Manhattan Project that focuses on hardening our electric grid. If it doesn't, those who survive will be existing in a country unrecognizable. read more

Civil-Military Preparedness For An Electromagnetic Pulse Catastrophe 

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry  

In my long experience, no other single issue has been such a scientific and national security conundrum as electromagnetic pulse (EMP). The phenomenon itself is not easy to explain to non-scientists, be they policymakers, generals, or ordinary citizens. The EMP threat seems like the stuff of science fiction. Yet your life depends upon understanding EMP.  

War Scare: Russia and America on the Nuclear Brink

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry

Why do some American intelligence officials maintain fallout shelters and private contingency plans to evacuate their families in the event of a Russian nuclear strike―even in today's post-Cold War era of U.S.-Russian partnership? The frightening answer lies within the pages of War Scare, a terrifying assessment of the prospect for nuclear holocaust in our day. Written by Peter Vincent Pry, a former CIA military analyst, War Scare provides a history of our country's little-known brushes with nuclear war and warns that, contrary to popular opinion and the assurances of our political leaders, the possibility of a Russian attack still exists. Nuclear deterrence has been the foundation of Western security for the last 50 years, but since the end of the Cold War, Russian military doctrine has become more destabilizing, and much more dangerous, than is commonly believed. read more

Poseidon: Russia's New Doomsday Machine

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry | Jun 14, 2018   "POSEIDON: Russia's New Doomsday Machine" describes Moscow's unmanned automated drone submarine designed to deliver a 100-megaton warhead to inundate U.S. coasts with nuclear tsunamis, leaving the most populous parts of America radioactive wastelands. Is this the real purpose of POSEIDON? What are the strategic implications of this new doomsday weapon, the latest in a series of Russian doomsday machines? What are the implications of the marriage in POSEIDON of Artificial Intelligence with the most powerful nuclear weapon ever built? Author Dr. Peter Vincent Pry is one of the nation's foremost experts on nuclear weapons and strategy. Pry is Executive Director of the Task Force on National and Homeland Security and of the U.S. Nuclear Strategy Forum, both Congressional Advisory Boards. He served as Chief of Staff of the Congressional EMP Commission, on the staffs of the Congressional Strategic Posture Commission and the House Armed Services Committee, and in the CIA.

The Long Sunday: Election Day 2016 - Inauguration Day 2017 - Nuclear EMP Attack Scenarios

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry | Oct 13, 2016

Imagine. It’s Sunday. The election is over. You are either anxious to watch the inauguration, dreading it, or escaping by watching Netflix instead.  You raked leaves in the morning, then watched your favorite football team win. You had dinner, and as the long day is winding down, you are watching a coveted DVD with your family. The lights flicker, then everything goes black. You head to the electric junction box in your basement. Your flashlight shines on all of the circuits. They’re all tripped, but trying to switch them back on doesn’t work.  Back upstairs, you check your watch, but the light won’t go on when you press the button and the face is blank. You move to your bay window and look outside. No light anywhere for as far as you can see.  You pick up your cell phone, press 911 and, nothing. You pick up your electronic land line and there’s no dial tone. You check your laptop to try to get the local news station on the web. It won’t boot up. You decide to drive to your friend’s house across town to see if he’s all right. You hop in your car and turn the key and, nothing. It won’t even turn over.

Apocalypse Unknown: The Struggle to Protect America From An Electromagnetic Pulse Catastrophe

by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry | Jul 8, 2013 

Americans are not being told by the news media about the biggest story of their lifetimes. Every night every television news channel is desperately worried about the global economic crisis, looming recession, protracted unemployment, Wall Street and the housing market, government spending and taxation, and "going over the "fiscal cliff." But there is a much bigger untold story about a threat to the global economy--and to the very existence of global civilization--yet so rarely mentioned anywhere that, as described by the title of this book, it is an "Apocalypse Unknown." The biggest story is this. December 2012 commenced the solar maximum, and significantly increased the possibility of a geomagnetic super-storm, something like a space hurricane, that could collapse electric grids and all the critical infrastructures that support modern civilization, and the lives of billions worldwide. The Sun is a gigantic ongoing thermonuclear explosion, equivalent to billions of nuclear warheads detonating every second, contained by gravity. During the solar maximum the Sun hurls into space more solar flares and coronal mass ejections--basically enormous chunks of itself, many times larger than the Earth. If one of these solar torpedoes hits the Earth, it could generate a powerful electromagnetic pulse (EMP) that would collapse electric power grids everywhere, plunging every modern nation into a protracted blackout. Perhaps permanently. Worldwide, billions could die.