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JULY 24, 2022
"Day 150 of the Russo-Ukrainian War"
 with William Walter Kay
 

FULL TWO HOURS

WE THE PEOPLE RADIO
 

HOUR 1

WE THE PEOPLE RADIO

HOUR 2

WE THE PEOPLE RADIO

 
Discussed on today's show:

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Read online: Day 150 of the Russo-Ukrainian War | Canada Free Press

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Ukraine's government banned 16 political parties, including the main opposition party; and nationalized the country's media

Day 150 of the Russo-Ukrainian War

 

On July 9, Britain’s largest circulation newspaper, the Daily Mail, claimed Ukrainian officials believed Ukraine was “suffering more than 20,000 casualties a month;” and, currently: “200 troops are killed and 800 wounded daily.” Moreover, there were: “fears that the true scale of losses is being understated.”1

This casualty count jibes with a June 15 Axios report which quoted Ukraine’s lead negotiator and top Zelensky adviser, David Arakhamia, saying:

Up to 1,000 Ukrainian soldiers are being killed and wounded each day in the Donbass region of eastern Ukraine, with 200 to 500 killed on average and many more wounded…” 2

Ukraine’s navy didn’t survive Day One

In mid-June, when asked about a daily Ukrainian casualty report of 100 killed and 300 wounded, JCS Chair General Milley said such figures were “in the ballpark of our assessments.” 3 Milley wouldn’t specify if this was a low-ball assessment. It was. 

Arakhamia’s coy limiter was “in the Donbass.” Fighting also occurs north and southwest of the Donbass; while Russian missiles inflict casualties across Ukraine. 

 

Nevertheless, the Axios and Daily Mail articles are examples of the truth about Ukrainian casualties slipping past the censors. This truth confirms Russian estimates. In mid-July a spokesman for the Russian-allied Donetsk Republic placed Ukrainian casualties at: 50,000 dead, 150,000 wounded.

This casualty count is believable given that only one adversary in this war possesses a navy while the theatre of engagement encompasses 2,700 kilometers of Black Sea coast. Ukraine’s navy didn’t survive Day One. The Russians have lost two ships.

This casualty count is believable given that only one adversary has an air force; and that air force is the world’s second-most powerful. Ukraine’s main 14 airbases were among the 800 targets obliterated on Day One. The Russians have so far destroyed 16 airbases and 260 aircraft. Russian aircraft losses remain shrouded but could hardly represent a scratch on their combat-ready inventory of 1,100 fighter jets and 137 strategic bombers. 

Howitzers not missiles, however, are this war’s grim reaper

While Russians boast an array of air-launched precision munitions, Kalibr cruise missiles are their weapon of choice. The most deployed Kalibr, the 3M-54, sports a 7-meter tubular frame and a turbojet engine. 3M-54s cruise at Mach 0.8 but accelerate to Mach 3 before impact. 3M-54s can be also launched from ships or submarines; and can hit buildings 1,500 kilometers away with 450-kilogram warheads. Kalibrs have blasted hundreds of Ukrainian munitions warehouses, army barracks etc.

Howitzers not missiles, however, are this war’s grim reaper. While artillery has been ‘king of battle’ since Napoleon, the Russo-Ukrainian War debuts an historic wedding of howitzers to drones.        

Russia’s Krasnopal artillery shells (typically fired from armored self-propelled MSTA 152-mm howitzers) are laser-guided to their targets by loitering drones. Rocket-assisted Krasnopals can hit stationary battle tanks 40 kilometers from launch. Their 7-kilogram warheads rocket straight down onto their prey, guaranteeing armor penetration. 

While Krasnopals have destroyed hundreds of military vehicles, they too are not this war’s principal widow-maker. That honor belongs to old-school 152-mm shells coupled with humble Orlan-10 drones.   

Perhaps the most basic of the 30 Russian-made drones, the Orlan-10 uses a gasoline-fueled piston engine to power a single-propeller plane with a 2-meter wingspan. Orlan-10s rely on rubber-band powered catapults for launch and parachutes to land. Orlan-10s carry retail, made-in-the-USA GPS systems and off-the-shelf Canon cameras. Nevertheless, Orlan-10s remain airborne for 16 hours at 5-kilometer altitudes whilst signaling real-time data to communication hubs 600 kilometers away. 


This is a Biden Administration subsidiary and it’s committing colossal crimes against humanity

Typical front-line “battles” consist of Orlan-10s beaming video of Ukrainian troops back to Russian communication hubs which then radio coordinates to batteries of four MSTA howitzers. The MSTAs then rumble into firing positions up to 25 kilometers from the spotted Ukrainians. Within one minute the MSTAs simultaneously fire 6 rounds each before driving off to elude counter-artillery. Each round carries a 45-kilogram shrapnel, or incendiary, bomb. The Russian Information Agency recently recounted a day wherein 157 such “battles” took place. The Russians experienced zero casualties.

Circa Day 150, Russia claims to have destroyed: 4,141 battle tanks and other armored fighting vehicles; 4,453 unarmored military vehicles; 3,176 artillery pieces and mortars; 762 multiple launch rocket systems; 1,589 drones; 144 helicopters; and 357 anti-aircraft systems. 

This tally equals all the equipment the Ukrainian Army brought into this war. The same could be said of the destruction wrought upon Ukraine’s Airforce and Navy. Absent NATO’s gifts the Ukrainians would be throwing stones.  

At war’s outset, Ukrainian Generals commanded 250,000 troops. Casualties now approach this quantum. One million new soldiers have been enlisted and plans are to pressgang 2 million more. All able-bodied men aged 18-to-60 are draftable. Enlistment officers prowl beaches and parks for draft evaders. Priests complain of enlistment officers lurking outside church doors after Sunday Mass. A one-night sweep through Kyiv’s bars netted 300 evaders.   

From their silos Ukrainian mandarins spout hallucinatory bombast. On July 18 Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba rejected peace talks until “after the Russians have been defeated on the battlefield.” The next day Deputy Defense Minister Volodymyr Havrylov vowed to sink Russia’s Black Sea Fleet and re-take Crimea.  

Ukraine’s government is wholly dependent on foreign, principally American, funds. Ukraine’s government banned 16 political parties, including the main opposition party; and nationalized the country’s media. Ukraine’s government seems hellbent of feeding millions of Ukrainians into the wood-chipper. Of course, this isn’t “Ukraine’s” government anymore. This is a Biden Administration subsidiary and it’s committing colossal crimes against humanity.  

Footnotes

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Read online:  Day 100 of the Russo-Ukrainian War

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This isn’t Vlad Putin’s War. This is Whitey Biden’s War and it’s a monstrous fiasco. America’s historic party of slavery and war, the Democrats, have woefully mis-stepped and repercussions will be historic.

Day 100 of the Russo-Ukrainian War

By  ——--June 5, 2022

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Historians will agonize over when the Russo-Ukrainian War actually started; but as Russia’s February 24 breach of Ukraine’s borders has been deemed by our media as Day One, let’s run with that. This makes June 4, Day 100. 

Western war reportage can be predicted a week in advance by the simple expediency of reading Russian Ministry of Defence communiques. For instance, Russian news outlets detailed the demise of Ukrainian forces in Mariupol, complete with video of thousands of troops surrendering, a week before our media begrudgingly conceded this fact. This time lag repeats regularly, lending credence to Russian claims.

Conversely, Ukraine’s Centre for Information and Psychological Operations (the source of much media malarky) has been caught inserting video game clips into its pressers, and producing disinformation howlers like the ‘Ghost of Kiev’ fighter ace fables. They stage mock battles for propaganda.

 

Their most persistent myth has Ukrainian forces beating back Russian attempts to overrun Kiev and Kharkiv. In reality, Russian maneuverings around those cities were ruses. These feints superbly misdirected Ukrainian military assets at the expense of shoring-up forces along the eastern front.

How do we know this?

At no time did Russia have less than 15,000 crack troops enmeshed in the brutal 3-month Battle of Mariupol. At no time did Russia have as many as 15,000 troops in Kiev’s environs – a city 8 times Mariupol’s size. The Russians never assembled adequate forces to assault Kiev.

Circa Day 40, Russian forces north of Kiev and Kharkiv u-turned back to Belarus then wheeled around to flank Ukraine’s eastern front where Russia now enjoys a 7-to-1 troop advantage. Ukraine’s legendary re-capturing of territory north of Kiev and Kharkiv consisted of shotless excursions into vacated villages and farmland.

Nevertheless, this nothing-burger is relentlessly mongered as Ukraine’s pivotal triumph. 
   
How do we know the Ukrainians are preposterously lying and that Russian accounts are closer to the truth?

By every expert opinion the Russian Air Force is a modern, massive enterprise seconded only by their American counterpart. Ukraine’s air force barely ranked before February 24. Since then, 16 of its airfields, and 186 of its combat aircraft, have been destroyed. Ukraine has been effectively fighting without an air force throughout this entire conflict.

NATO reinforcements arrive too little too late; if they arrive at all. They often get blasted before they reach the front

 

Moreover, unlike America’s foreign entanglements this war is not taking place on the other side of the planet from Russia. Its happening next door. Russia can concentrate vastly more air power onto Ukraine than the Americans could on Iraq. 

Furthermore, the Russians have eliminated 329 Ukrainian anti-aircraft systems and scores of radar stations.

Finally, while Ukraine boasts a 2,700-kilometre coastline, their navy didn’t survive Day One.

The Russians have fired thousands of sea-launched and air-launched precision missiles at defenseless Ukrainian positions. This war is a turkey shoot.

After Day 40 the war became primarily an artillery dual with the Russians enjoying a massive firepower advantage. Said advantage has been multiplied by the destruction of 1,768 Ukrainian field artillery guns and 464 Ukrainian rocket launchers. These losses represent well over half of what Ukraine brought to this war, and virtually all of what they deployed along the eastern front.

NATO reinforcements arrive too little too late; if they arrive at all. They often get blasted before they reach the front. Warehouses storing western munitions, and barracks housing foreign mercs, have proven to be sitting ducks.


Ukrainian “blocker battalions” lurk behind Ukrainian lines to prevent flight, surrender, or any other real or imagined disobedience

 

Russian Defence Minister, Sergei Shoigu, describes the war as an opportunity to perfect the nexus between surveillance drones and artillery batteries. Drone operators spot Ukrainian troop concentrations. They immediately communicate these coordinates to gunnery captains who, as soon as possible, hammer those spots. In one recent 24-hour period Russian artillery barraged 1,100 locations. 

Russia claims to have destroyed 3,399 armoured vehicles; 3,402 non-armoured military vehicles; 1,091 drones and 129 helicopters.

On March 25 Russia estimated Ukrainian casualties at 14,000 dead, 16,000 wounded. On April 16 they upped fatality estimates to 23,000. This body-count now likely exceeds 40,000! 

Ukrainian “blocker battalions” lurk behind Ukrainian lines to prevent flight, surrender, or any other real or imagined disobedience. One such battalion is dominated by ‘The Punisher’ – a notoriously trigger-happy masked sniper who is probably not a Ukrainian national and who probably deserves a Russian medal for having shot more Ukrainian soldiers than any Russian has. 

Despite Punisher’s best efforts 5,000 Ukrainians have surrendered. Rumours of mutinies and other indicia of discontent abound at all ranks of Ukraine’s army. Zelensky’s neck is on the block.

This isn’t Vlad Putin’s War. This is Whitey Biden’s War and it’s a monstrous fiasco. America’s historic party of slavery and war, the Democrats, have woefully mis-stepped and repercussions will be historic.

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https://principia-scientific.com/russias-ballistic-missile-deployments-along-ukraines-eastern-border/

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Russia’s Ballistic Missile Deployments Along Ukraine’s Eastern Border     Published on 

Written by William Walter Kay BA JD

 

The Ukrainians are bringing knives to a gunfight. Kudos to The Drive’s January 19th gallery of stills and videos evincing Russia’s Iskander-M (pictured) build-up along Ukraine’s eastern border.

 

(1) Best estimates have 48 launchers deployed, each packing two Iskander-M missiles, and with plenty of spare ammo on hand.

Although by no means an exemplar, this article is not Russian-friendly, hence discusses the Iskander deployment with obligatory references to the missiles’ “nuclear potential” and to its ability to strike Kiev. This is hyperbole. The arrayed Iskander-M fleet carry conventional warheads and they will strike frontline Ukrainian Army assets.

Contemporary reportage on potential Ukrainian war scenarios read like World War II re-enactments. (Indeed, the adversaries increasingly dress the part.) Scenarios envision clashes of infantry and armour – boots on the ground and main battle tanks. Generals plan to re-fight the last war, not their next war.

Either through groupthink and/or hidden censorship, Ukrainian forces act as though they are in denial of the Iskander-M’s game-changing presence.

The Iskander-M is a late Cold War weapon re-purposed for regional conflicts; and, ideally suited for attacking second-tier military forces. The Iskander-M is a miniaturized knock-off of America’s Pershing-II.

While not the first tractor-drawn ballistic missile system with a hydraulically erected launch silo, the Pershing II represented a break-through in miniaturization, guidance, and speed. It was exclusively intended to carry nuclear warheads. 108 Pershing IIs were deployed in West Germany in the early 1980s. After the 1988 Intermediate-Range Weapons Treaty nixed the Pershing II program all 108 were withdrawn and scrapped.

Diametrically, 1988 heralded Iskander’s conception. The program survived the break-up of the Soviet Union, although effective deployment of Iskander-M systems was delayed until 2006. While the Iskander-M can carry nuclear warheads; this is not its designed mission. (Moreover, Volkswagens can carry nuclear warheads.)

Iskander-M rockets carry several types of conventional warhead i.e., high explosive, fragmenting submunitions, electro-magnetic pulse, thermobaric, bunker-buster etc. Iskander-M launch systems also fire sub-sonic cruise missiles.

Pershing IIs were two-stage rockets weighing 7,500 kilograms. Iskander-M launch vehicles carry two separate single-stage rockets with a combined weight of 7,600 kilograms. Both systems use rapid-fire solid fuels. (Liquid fueling must be done on site and is time-consuming.) Pershing IIs were 10.6 metres long and 1 metre wide. Iskander-Ms are 7.3 metres long and 0.9 metres wide. The Pershing II flew faster (Mach 8 versus Mach 6) and further (1,800 kilometres versus 450 kilometres) than the Iskander-M.

Currently, the Ukrainian government faces its domestic adversaries across a jagged 500-kilometre frontline. To the west are 125,000 Ukrainian soldiers (half of Ukraine’s total troop strength). To the east lie the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics, together boasting 35,000 troops. The Ukrainians contend, and the Russians deny, an additional 3,000 Russian Special Ops troops bolster the breakaway Republics’ upstart armies.

To the east of Donbass lies Russia’s western border whereupon some 100,000 troops and 48 Iskander-M launchers are deployed. Not far to the south, and off the east coast of the Azov Sea, Russian cruise-missile frigates hold anchor.

No part of the frontline is much more than 100 kilometres away from the Russian border. Almost all of Ukraine’s forward forces are concentrated in pockets within 200 kilometres of the Iskander launch vehicles. Ukraine’s forces are sitting ducks. Compressed parabola trajectories will allow 800-kilogram warheads to hit targets at six times the speed of sound within minutes of launch. The system boasts an ability to hit a 7-metre diameter circle from 400 kilometres away.

The Russians possess up-to-the-minute data from drones, satellites, high altitude aircraft, ground reconnaissance, and intelligence intercepts regarding the micro-locations of Ukrainian frontline deployments. The Iskander-M possesses four guidance systems including one operating on a data base of digital photographs of routes and targets which the Russians have surveyed, from the air, countless times.

The first half-hour of the rumoured war’s kinetic engagement may see 96 Iskander warheads, and as many sea-launched cruise missiles, hitting the Ukrainian Army’s: fuel storage depots, command-and-control infrastructure, transportation hubs, troop concentrations, artillery pieces, and arsenals etc. The Ukrainian Army could not withstand one hour of such battering; and they have zero defence.

Road-mobile short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) systems rely on shoot-and-scoot tactics to continuously conceal the location of the launchers. Iskander-Ms can be camouflaged, shielded with smokescreens, and surrounded by decoys. Ukraine’s Air Force and Army attack helicopters will have to prowl slowly at low altitudes to find the Iskander-Ms. These missions must occur over Russian territory riddled with tens of thousands of combat-ready Russian troops wielding all manner of anti-aircraft weaponry. The Ukrainians will not take-out a single Iskander by such means.

Nor do the Ukrainians possess artillery or missiles capable of reaching the Iskander launchers.

Nor do they have missile intercept capabilities.

This may be the first modern Post-Cold War war, i.e., the first decisive use of the advances in ballistics and guidance, gained during the Cold War’s twilight years, to deliver conventional, legal warheads.

 

Iran, North Korea, China replicated Russia’s investment in road-mobile SRBM technology while the West gambled heavily on fighter-bombers. Saudi, South Korean and Taiwanese airfields are big stationary targets. Tractors and trailers can be made almost undetectable from the air.

Footnotes

  1. Russia Masses Iskander-M Ballistic Missiles Near Ukraine As Its Build-Up Is “Almost Completed” (thedrive.com)

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